CREDIT SCORING FACTS

THE ISSUE

Credit scoring is used to determine the credit worthiness of consumers for mortgages and other debt. It is not subject to review by the consumer to determine its accuracy or applicability to that consumer, and it can be affected by the behavior of others, such as creditors, employers, and landlords.

THE LEGISLATION

Consumers Union is a co-sponsor of SB 1607, authored by California State Senator Liz Figueroa. The bill is also co-sponsored by the California Association of Realtors. This bill will provide home mortgage consumers access to their credit scores, explanation of these scores, and information on how the score is used.

BACKGROUND

WHAT IS A CREDIT SCORE?

Consumers who seek a home mortgage, auto loan, or credit card are assigned a credit score. A credit score measures the relative degree of risk of delinquency or default that a borrower represents to a creditor or lender. The score, also called a "risk score," is based on information in the borrower's credit report and also on information about how other borrowers with similar information have repaid their bills. Credit scores are widely used by mortgage lenders and other lenders in evaluating loan applications.

Creditors may use their own credit scoring model, different scoring models for different types of credit, or a generic model developed by a credit scoring company. Many different credit scoring models are used; the most widely used models have been developed by Fair Isaac Co., a credit scoring company in San Rafael, California. A credit score is sometimes called a "FICO" score.

To develop a credit scoring model, the model builder selects a random sample of loan customers and analyzes the sample statistically to identify characteristics that relate to patterns of repayment. Then, each of these characteristics is assigned a weight based on how strong a predictor it is of the likelihood of repayment. The higher the score, the lower the risk for the lender. Credit scores range between 900 and 300. A borrower with a score of 660 or greater is considered to be of less risk for the lender, while a score of 620 or lower is a poor credit score.

Credit scoring may not rely on factors such as race, religion, gender, income, address, employment, national origin, or marital status. Some credit scoring systems may use age as a factor in determining a credit score.

In 1995, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac began to encourage the use of credit scores for the mortgages they buy from lenders. Credit scoring is now widely used on mortgage loan applicants.

How is a credit score determined?

Credit scores rely on the following five factors:

  • Past payment performance, e.g., late payments. A pattern of late payments brings down the credit score.
  • Credit utilization, i.e., the way credit is used. Borrowers who borrow to the limit of their credit cards are considered higher risk.
  • Credit history, i.e., how long the borrower has been borrowing. Someone who has had credit for a long time is considered less risky.
  • Inquiries into and applications for credit. The number of times a person has asked for credit or has had an inquiry into their credit record affects the credit score; frequent requests for credit or frequent inquiries in a short period of time bring down the credit score.
  • Types of credit in use, e.g., secured credit card, installment loans, revolving loans, finance company lines.

What are the problems with credit scores?

Consumers are not told their credit score. Lenders and credit reporting agencies are not presently required by law to reveal a credit score to the borrower. Some lenders do reveal the score to borrowers.

Consumers are not given enough information to understand their credit score if it is revealed. Lenders and credit reporting agencies are not required by law to reveal the reasons for the credit score, the reason codes employed, how the credit score was determined, or what credit scoring model was used. Even if the consumer learns his or her credit score, the scoring model is a "black box," and the consumer lacks information about what factors contributed to the consumer's score.

Consumers do not know what actions they take will harm or improve their credit score. Without knowing the reasons for the score or how the score is determined, consumers cannot know what activities generate higher or lower scores. For example, a consumer who does not use credit cards or uses them infrequently has a lower score due to lack of a borrowing history.

Consumers do not know that routine activity can lower a credit score. A credit score can be negatively affected by routine activity such as shopping for auto insurance, searching for rental housing, applying for a job and opening a bank account. Because these activities result in inquiries into the borrower's credit report and recent credit inquiries can produce a lower score, the consumer is unknowingly engaging in non-debt related activity which lowers the credit score.

Consumers do not know what steps to take to improve a credit score. Consumers may erroneously believe that closing old credit accounts and consolidating debt will improve their credit standing. However these actions can result in lowered credit scores by affecting borrowing history and by increasing debt to credit limit ratios.

Credit scores are based on credit reports which often have errors. Credit scores use information found in a consumer's credit report. However, credit reports frequently contain errors. For example, in March 1999, the U.S. Public Interest Research Group reported that 70% of credit reports in their sample contained mistakes or errors of some kind and 29% contained serious errors that could be used to deny credit. Nineteen percent of the credit reports contained accounts that could not be identified or did not belong to the consumer; and 26% contained credit accounts that were closed by the consumer but listed as open: U.S. PIRG, Mistakes Do Happen, March 1999, http://www.pirg.org/consumer/credit/mistakes/index.htm.

Consumers must rely on creditor action to maintain a current credit report. Some credit granters fail to report positive consumer activity to the credit reporting agencies. This can result in lower scores because good payment records are not being considered.

Consumers must find and correct credit record mistakes made by credit reporting agencies. Errors in a credit report must be repaired by the consumer. However, without knowing the basis or reasoning behind credit scoring, the consumer cannot know what credit report errors must be repaired to maintain a high credit score. In addition, communication with credit reporting agencies is difficult, as found by U.S.PIRG in its report of March 1999.

A borrower should be provided with the credit score and an explanation for it. A borrower is at an enormous disadvantage when a mortgage loan application is denied on the basis of a factor which is not revealed to the borrower or is revealed but not explained.

Credit scoring has not been proven to be without bias. Although lenders maintain that credit scoring removes bias from the lending process, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data reveals that denial rates for minorities remain much higher than for non-minority borrowers. A contributing factor could be that low- and moderate-income borrowers often only have access to credit that has a higher risk rating in credit scoring models, such as finance company loans. Credit scoring does remove personal judgment from the loan process, but it substitutes statistical judgments that are made based on the behavior of prior customers. If those prior customers are not demographically representative of the current base of loan applicants, a credit scoring model might underestimate the likelihood of repayment by consumers whose demographics are not fully represented in the sample of prior customers upon which the scoring model was based.

Examples of the effect of credit scoring on consumers

At a Federal Trade Commission conference held in July 1999 on credit scoring, a mortgage broker from San Diego described credit scoring and reporting problems she encountered in her work. She noted that when reviewing credit reports with her clients, she would regularly find errors such as information on individuals with similar names and credit information that was inaccurate, unsubstantiated, and fictional (she also reported that her own credit report regularly provided information on her ex-husband's other wives, despite her attempts to fix the error).

At the same conference, an audience member provided the following example of credit scoring inequity: the speaker, a finance manager for a car dealership, had a customer who was a physician, his wife was a physician, they had a substantial income, had credit histories dating back to 1983, and 77% credit line availability. These customers had three late payments in the past 16 years, which gave them a credit score of 585 and made them ineligible for bank financing. In contrast, the speaker had another customer who was a full-time student, was employed part-time, and had one credit reference for a cellular phone service which he had owned for 10 months. The student received a credit score of 715, making him immediately eligible for a low-interest auto loan.

Another audience member described the effect several credit inquiries had on his credit score when he shopped for car phones to run his business. Because he was comparison shopping, nine phone companies inquired into his credit score to provide the rates he would be charged for phone service. As a result, his credit score went down and the interest rate on his credit card was increased from 18% to 25.9%. It took the consumer two years to remedy the problem.

For mortgage borrowers, a poor credit score can translate into thousands of dollars in extra interest costs. For example, according to statistics from the California Association of Realtors, the December 1999 median priced home in California was $221,499. Assuming a down payment of 20% and an annual percentage interest rate of 7.65%, the initial mortgage amount would be $177,199, and monthly mortgage payments would be $1,257. Just a quarter of a point increase in the cost of this mortgage would raise the monthly mortgage payment to $1287, representing an increase in interest cost over thirty years of more than $10,000.

 

 


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